Analyst moves · Analyst house
Guggenheim analyst calls on stock perps
Every Guggenheim rating change and price-target move on companies with stock perpetual futures, with the measured perp reaction after each call.
Moves on record53
Moves (30d)33
Stocks covered46
Measured outcomes45
Track record
Guggenheim across all its coverage (TipRanks), plus the measured move of stock perps after its calls.| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 1,983 | 3,789 |
| Analysts | 27 | 34 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 1616 / 361 / 6 | 3013 / 706 / 70 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 27 / 35 / 174 | 77 / 95 / 310 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 277 / 1,395 (17%) | 834 / 2,413 (26%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -26.7% | -14.3% |
| Best / worst call | +220.6% / -96.6% | +1,237.3% / -100.0% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.7% · vs S&P 500 0.0% (n = 880) · targets hit within a year 67% (n = 450)
After sell calls: median 21-day move -2.4% · vs S&P 500 -2.0% (n = 66)
Analysts at Guggenheim covering stock perps
- Jacob Smith CFA4.5★ · 100% success · +49.1% excess return3 ratings on stock perps
- Tamjid Chowdhury3.3★ · 85% success · +12.4% excess return8 ratings on stock perps
- Subbu Nambi5★ · 73% success · +42.0% excess return58 ratings on stock perps
- Howard Ma4.8★ · 71% success · +24.1% excess return69 ratings on stock perps
- Michael Ciarmoli5★ · 65% success · +22.9% excess return7 ratings on stock perps
- John Difucci4.9★ · 64% success · +19.1% excess return222 ratings on stock perps
- John Heinbockel4.7★ · 62% success · +10.6% excess return49 ratings on stock perps
- Gregory Francfort3.9★ · 62% success · +6.2% excess return46 ratings on stock perps
- Seamus Fernandez4.9★ · 61% success · +28.1% excess return60 ratings on stock perps
- Jason Cassorla3.9★ · 61% success · +6.9% excess return48 ratings on stock perps
- Michael Morris4.8★ · 58% success · +13.5% excess return176 ratings on stock perps
- Ronald Jewsikow1.4★ · 57% success · -0.5% excess return32 ratings on stock perps
TipRanks data via FMP
Guggenheim analyst calls on stock perps
53 moves| Stock | Analyst | Action | Target / price | vs. perp price | 1h after | 24h after | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 $ESTC | Howard Ma4.8★ · 71% success · +24.1% excess returnHoward MaGuggenheim
| price target raised | $106 → $120$83.74 | +43.3% Long | pending | pending | Aug 28, 11:06 |
 $CRM | John Difucci4.9★ · 64% success · +19.1% excess returnJohn DifucciGuggenheim
| price target raised | $228 → $270$239 | +12.7% Long | -0.2% | +10.7% | Aug 27, 10:57 |
 $OKTA | John Difucci4.9★ · 64% success · +19.1% excess returnJohn DifucciGuggenheim
| price target raised | $162 → $188$188 | 0% Short | +3.1% | +9% | Aug 27, 10:55 |
Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.