Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst
Michael Ciarmoli (Guggenheim): analyst track record on stock perps
Michael Ciarmoli of Guggenheim on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars5★
Success64%
Excess return+22.3%
rank#104
Ratings487
ratings on stock perps151
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 162 | 493 |
| Stock | 41 | 44 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 121 / 41 / 0 | 376 / 115 / 2 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 2 / 1 / 30 | 9 / 6 / 36 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 15 / 108 (12%) | 191 / 201 (49%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -25.9% | +18.4% |
| Best / worst call | +59.6% / -81.4% | +370.1% / -96.0% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.5% · vs S&P 500 -0.1% (n = 101) · targets hit within a year 98% (n = 55)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $NOC Northrop Grumman | Buy · Reiterated | $640 | +16.1% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| $BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. | Buy · Reiterated | $192 | +51.0% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| $HWM Howmet Aerospace | Buy · Initiated | $350 | +88.3% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| $KRMN Karman Holdings Inc. | Buy · Initiated | $63.00 | +71.9% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| $KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | Buy · Initiated | $74.00 | +91.3% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| $LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | Buy · Initiated | $365 | +43.7% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| $RDW Redwire Corporation | Hold · Initiated | – | – | Sep 14, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Oct 20, 2026 $NOC: Reiterated · Buy · $640 · article
- Sep 29, 2026 $BWXT: Reiterated · Buy · $192 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $KTOS: Initiated · Buy · $74.00 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $RDW: Initiated · Hold · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $NOC: Initiated · Buy · $612 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $BWXT: Initiated · Buy · $192 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $KRMN: Initiated · Buy · $63.00 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $LHX: Initiated · Buy · $365 · article
- Sep 14, 2026 $HWM: Initiated · Buy · $350 · article
- May 18, 2026 $KRMN: Maintained · Buy · $118 · article
- May 13, 2026 $RDW: Maintained · Buy · $15.00 · article
- May 7, 2026 $KTOS: Maintained · Buy · article
- Mar 26, 2026 $KRMN: Maintained · Buy · $118 · article
- Mar 12, 2026 $HWM: Maintained · Buy · $280 · article
- Mar 9, 2026 $RDW: Upgraded · Buy · $15.00 · article
- Mar 2, 2026 $KTOS: Maintained · Buy · article
- Feb 26, 2026 $LHX: Maintained · Buy · $384 · article
- Feb 24, 2026 $KTOS: Reiterated · Buy · $135 · article
- Feb 24, 2026 $BWXT: Maintained · Hold · $205 · article
- Feb 13, 2026 $HWM: Reiterated · Buy · $280 · article
Michael Ciarmoli5★ · 64% success · +22.3% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.