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Simeon Gutman (Morgan Stanley): analyst track record on stock perps
Simeon Gutman of Morgan Stanley on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars3.9★
Success56%
Excess return+3.4%
rank#2,714
Ratings497
ratings on stock perps160
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 241 | 591 |
| Stock | 59 | 60 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 111 / 120 / 10 | 258 / 294 / 39 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 1 / 2 / 3 | 10 / 7 / 3 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 37 / 204 (15%) | 152 / 438 (26%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -18.9% | -10.0% |
| Best / worst call | +58.3% / -92.7% | +525.8% / -99.2% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.4% · vs S&P 500 -0.9% · targets hit within a year 74% (n = 146)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $WMT Walmart Inc. | Buy · Maintained | $125 | +18.2% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| $ORLY O'Reilly Auto Parts | Buy · Reiterated | $108 | +26.3% | Aug 26, 2026 |
| $LOW Lowe's | Buy · Maintained | $258 | +31.3% | Aug 23, 2026 |
| $HD The Home Depot, Inc. | Buy · Reiterated | $400 | +30.9% | Aug 21, 2026 |
| $TGT Target Corporation | Buy · Maintained | $170 | +9.2% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| $COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Buy · Maintained | $1,130 | +25.2% | May 29, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Aug 31, 2026 $WMT: Maintained · Buy · $125 · article
- Aug 26, 2026 $ORLY: Reiterated · Buy · $108 · article
- Aug 23, 2026 $LOW: Maintained · Buy · $258 · article
- Aug 21, 2026 $HD: Reiterated · Buy · $400 · article
- Aug 21, 2026 $WMT: Reiterated · Buy · $125 · article
- Aug 20, 2026 $TGT: Maintained · Buy · $170 · article
- Aug 20, 2026 $LOW: Reiterated · Buy · $258 · article
- Aug 16, 2026 $WMT: Maintained · Buy · $140 · article
- Aug 3, 2026 $WMT: Maintained · Buy · $140 · article
- Jul 31, 2026 $ORLY: Maintained · Buy · $108 · article
- Jul 3, 2026 $ORLY: Maintained · Buy · $112 · article
- Jun 29, 2026 $WMT: Maintained · Buy · $140 · article
- Jun 22, 2026 $WMT: Reiterated · Buy · $140 · article
- Jun 11, 2026 $TGT: Maintained · Buy · $150 · article
- May 29, 2026 $COST: Maintained · Buy · $1,130 · article
- May 22, 2026 $WMT: Reiterated · Buy · $140 · article
- May 20, 2026 $HD: Maintained · Buy · $400 · article
- Apr 30, 2026 $ORLY: Reiterated · Buy · $112 · article
- Apr 22, 2026 $WMT: Reiterated · Buy · $140 · article
- Apr 15, 2026 $TGT: Maintained · Buy · $145 · article
Simeon Gutman3.9★ · 56% success · +3.4% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.