PerpEquities

Travelers Companies (The) (TRV)财务

NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · 员工34,000人 · CEO Alan D. Schnitzer

股价
$396.22 -0.51%
市值
$812亿
企业价值
$903亿
最近财报
Q3 '26 2026-10-16提交
下次财报
2027-01-20 EPS预期 $9.88
营收(TTM)$489亿+1.1% 对比去年同期最近4个季度;柱状图=各季度
营业利润率(TTM)21.6%+6.6 百分点 对比去年同期营业利润 $106亿
净利润(TTM)$83.3亿+41.8% 对比去年同期税后,含营业外收益
自由现金流(TTM)$107亿+6.9% 对比去年同期资本支出 $0
稀释EPS(TTM)$38.14+50.0% 对比去年同期最近4个季度之和
净现金$865亿-3.8% 对比去年同期现金 + 短期投资 - 债务

估值与关键数据

市值
$812亿
EV $903亿
营收
$489亿
过去12个月
营收增速
-10%
FY2026年一致预期
净利润率
17.0%
净利润 / 营收,TTM
P/E
10.2×
预期 10.8×(FY2026)
P/S
1.7×
股价 / 营收,TTM
EV / EBITDA
7.8×
TTM
自由现金流
$107亿
过去12个月
净利润
$83.3亿
过去12个月
营收预期
$440亿
FY2026年一致预期
盈利
2027-01-20
营收预期 $107亿
股息
$4.70
每股,过去12个月

核心要点

根据披露数据计算,每条结论都附有其依据的数字。

  • 最近财报(2026-10-16):营收超预期9.2%,EPS 超预期24.2%营收$124亿,预期$114亿(+9.2%);EPS $9.18,预期$7.39(+24.2%)。
  • 营收增长放缓:同比-0.5%Q3 '26营收$124亿,此前四个季度的平均值为2.4%。
  • 营业利润率21.6%(TTM),较去年同期+6.6 百分点营收增长1.1%,营业利润增长45.3%。
  • 资本支出占营收的0.0%(去年为0.0%)最近4个季度投入$0(同比–)。自由现金流$107亿,相当于净利润的128.1%。
  • 股东回报$72.3亿 = 自由现金流的67.7%回购$62.3亿(去年为$17.5亿),股息$10亿,股权激励-$1.54亿(TTM)。
  • 稀释股数一年内减少7.4%Q3 '26稀释股数2.11亿,一年前为2.28亿。
  • 净现金 $865亿现金 + 短期投资 $963亿,含租赁债务 $98.1亿;一年前净现金 $899亿。

上一季度:Q3 '26

截至2026-09-30的季度。与去年同期及财报发布前的分析师一致预期对比。

本季度与去年同期

Q3 '26去年同期变化
营收$124亿$125亿-0.5%
毛利率32.8%32.3%+0.5 百分点
营业利润$24.9亿$23.4亿+6.1%
营业利润率20.0%18.8%+1.2 百分点
净利润$19.2亿$18.9亿+1.5%
稀释EPS$9.04$8.24+9.7%
经营现金流$38.8亿$42.3亿-8.3%
资本支出$0$0–
自由现金流$38.8亿$42.3亿-8.3%
R&D$0$0–
股权激励费用$0-$1.25亿+100.0%

实际 vs 一致预期

2026-10-16
实际一致预期对比预期
营收$124亿$114亿+9.2%
EPS(一致预期口径)$9.18$7.39+24.2%

来自2026-10-16发布的Q3 '26财报:营收及分析师预期口径的EPS(通常为调整后),可能与上方报表中的EPS不同。

EPS与一致预期

最近8次财报

营收

收入从何而来,按业务线和地区逐季展示。

营收、营业利润与增速

季度

按业务线划分的营收

堆叠,季度
分部Q3 '26同比占比TTMTTM同比12个季度
Business Insurance$68.4亿+2.8%55.0%––
Personal Insurance$43.7亿-5.5%35.1%$177亿-20.8%
Bond & Specialty Insurance$12.4亿+6.0%9.9%$47.2亿-15.4%

利润率与成本结构

每一单位营收在各层级还剩多少,成本又花在哪里。

利润率

季度

成本占营收比例

季度

现金流与资本配置

创造了多少现金,用在何处,又有多少回到股东手中。

经营现金流、资本支出、自由现金流

季度

现金用途与经营现金流

财年

最近4个季度

现金流量表
经营现金流
$107亿
资本支出
$0
股票回购
-$62.3亿
股息
-$10亿
收购
$0
债务净发行
$1.44亿
股权激励费用
-$1.54亿
自由现金流
$107亿
股东回报 / FCF
67.7%

股数与EPS

季度,稀释

资产负债表

各季度末的流动性、投资和债务。

现金、投资与债务

季度末

估值与回报

当前估值倍数与公司自身过去五个财年对比;分析师目标价与评级。

估值倍数与回报

TTM与过去5个财年
当前5年均值当前处于5年区间的位置
P/E(TTM)10.2×12.5×10.4× – 15.7×
EV / EBITDA7.8×9.5×8.0× – 11.5×
EV / 营收1.8×1.4×1.2× – 1.5×
股价 / FCF7.6×6.0×5.3× – 6.9×
股价 / 净资产2.8×1.8×1.3× – 2.1×
FCF收益率13.1%16.7%14.5% – 18.7%
投入资本回报率18.3%9.5%6.9% – 12.1%
净资产收益率26.2%15.0%12.0% – 19.1%

分析师

一致目标价 $356.18 (-10.1%)
区间 $290.00 – $430.00 · 评级 Hold

强烈买入1
买入10
持有29
卖出4
强烈卖出0

展望

分析师对未来财年的一致预期,以及按当前股价意味着什么。

一致预期

财年营收增速EPS增速按当前股价的P/E分析师(EPS)
FY2026$440亿-9.8%$36.64+33.6%10.8×17
FY2027$449亿+1.8%$31.02-15.4%12.8×17
FY2028$459亿+2.4%$31.72+2.3%12.5×9

财务报表

利润表、资产负债表和现金流量表的每一项,含12个季度和10个财年,以金额、占营收比例或增速展示。

全部披露项目

The Travelers Companies, Inc.在近期10-Q / 10-K文件中标记的全部296项数据,附SEC官方标签和定义,包括附注(租赁、税务、回购、员工等)。

项目(SEC标签)最近季度去年同期同比最近财年上一财年同比
$33.5亿2025-12-31–––––
Accrued Income Taxes, Current$3.09亿2025-12-31$3.01亿+2.7%$3.09亿$3.01亿+2.7%
Accrued Investment Income Receivable$8.6亿$7.76亿+10.8%$8.77亿$7.52亿+16.6%
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax-$70.6亿-$30.9亿-128.3%-$25亿-$49.7亿+49.7%
Alternative Investment$900万–––––
Amortization of Intangible Assets–––$2000万$2100万-4.8%
Assets$1420亿$1440亿-1.1%$1440亿$1330亿+7.9%
Assets Held by Insurance Regulators$40.4亿2025-12-31$39.6亿+2.0%$40.4亿$39.6亿+2.0%
Assumed Premiums Earned–––$21.1亿$21亿+0.7%
Assumed Premiums Written–––$21.4亿$21.7亿-1.7%
Benefits, Losses and Expenses$100亿$101亿-0.8%$410亿$402亿+2.0%
Cash$7.66亿$7.29亿+5.1%$8.42亿$6.99亿+20.5%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents$7.66亿$7.29亿+5.1%$8.42亿$6.99亿+20.5%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents, Period Increase (Decrease), Including Exchange Rate Effect$1.45亿$7000万+107.1%$3.14亿$4900万+540.8%
Ceded Premiums Earned–––$32.4亿$31.4亿+3.2%
Ceded Premiums Payable$8.28亿$9.46亿-12.5%$5.29亿$5.5亿-3.8%
Ceded Premiums Written–––$33.4亿$31.9亿+4.7%
Commercial Paper$1亿2025-12-31$1亿0.0%$1亿$1亿0.0%
Common Stock, Dividends, Per Share, Declared$1.25$1.10+13.6%$2.832017-12-31$2.62+8.0%
Common Stock, Shares Authorized17.5亿17.5亿0.0%17.5亿17.5亿0.0%
Common Stock, Shares, Outstanding2.05亿2.23亿-8.1%2.18亿2.27亿-4.0%
Common Stock, Value, Outstanding$263亿$258亿+1.9%$259亿$255亿+1.8%
Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax, Attributable to Parent-$24.8亿$28.8亿-186.1%$87.6亿$45亿+94.4%
Current Federal Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$11.7亿$12.5亿-6.5%
Current Foreign Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$8900万$7000万+27.1%
Current Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$12.8亿$13.4亿-4.4%
Current State and Local Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$1700万$1400万+21.4%
Debt Instrument, Unamortized Discount (Premium) and Debt Issuance Costs, Net$1.18亿2025-12-31$1.05亿+12.4%$1.18亿$1.05亿+12.4%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale$894亿$911亿-1.9%$898亿$837亿+7.4%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Accumulated Gross Unrealized Gain, before Tax$2900万$8.83亿-96.7%$9.68亿$2.23亿+334.1%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Accumulated Gross Unrealized Loss, before Tax$80.8亿$33.6亿+140.1%$28.5亿$48.3亿-41.0%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Allowance for Credit Loss$200万$400万-50.0%$300万$200万+50.0%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Amortized Cost$974亿$936亿+4.1%$917亿$883亿+3.9%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Amortized Cost, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year 10$267亿2025-12-31$217亿+22.7%$267亿$217亿+22.7%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Amortized Cost, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year 5 Through 10$249亿2025-12-31$226亿+9.9%$249亿$226亿+9.9%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Amortized Cost, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year One Through Five$211亿2025-12-31$236亿-10.6%$211亿$236亿-10.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Amortized Cost, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, Year One$59亿2025-12-31$73.6亿-19.8%$59亿$73.6亿-19.8%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, 12 Months or Longer$278亿$385亿-28.0%$375亿$417亿-10.2%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, 12 Months or Longer, Accumulated Loss$44.2亿$31.9亿+38.7%$28亿$43.8亿-36.0%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, Less than 12 Months$582亿$91.8亿+534.1%$56.7亿$240亿-76.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, Less than 12 Months, Accumulated Loss$36.6亿$1.79亿+1,945.3%$4800万$4.54亿-89.4%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Fair Value, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year 10$255亿2025-12-31$199亿+28.6%$255亿$199亿+28.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Fair Value, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year 5 Through 10$244亿2025-12-31$209亿+16.7%$244亿$209亿+16.7%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Fair Value, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, after Year One Through Five$208亿2025-12-31$230亿-9.6%$208亿$230亿-9.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-Sale, Fair Value, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, Year One$58.9亿2025-12-31$73.3亿-19.6%$58.9亿$73.3亿-19.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, Amortized Cost$786亿2025-12-31$754亿+4.3%$786亿$754亿+4.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Maturity, Allocated and Single Maturity Date, Fair Value$766亿2025-12-31$711亿+7.8%$766亿$711亿+7.8%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Maturity, without Single Maturity Date, Amortized Cost$131亿2025-12-31$129亿+1.6%$131亿$129亿+1.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Maturity, without Single Maturity Date, Fair Value$132亿2025-12-31$126亿+5.0%$132亿$126亿+5.0%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Realized Gain$0-$200万+100.0%$100万$200万-50.0%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Unrealized Loss Position$860亿$477亿+80.2%$431亿$657亿-34.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Unrealized Loss Position, Accumulated Loss$80.8亿$33.6亿+140.1%$28.5亿$48.3亿-41.0%
Debt, Current$3亿2025-12-31$1亿+200.0%$3亿$1亿+200.0%
Debt, Long-term and Short-term, Combined Amount$98.1亿$92.7亿+5.9%$92.7亿$80.3亿+15.4%
Deferred Federal Income Tax Expense (Benefit)-$5900万$3.2亿-118.4%$2.1亿-$1.52亿+238.2%
Deferred Foreign Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$2100万-$300万+800.0%
Deferred Income Tax Assets, Net$22.7亿$10.4亿+119.1%$8.87亿$17.6亿-49.7%
Deferred Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$2.31亿-$1.55亿+249.0%
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost$37.6亿$36.9亿+2.0%$35.2亿$34.9亿+0.7%
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs, Amortization Expense$18.6亿$18.5亿+0.4%$72.7亿$69.7亿+4.2%

来源:SEC companyfacts(每份10-Q / 10-K的XBRL)。现金流量表的季度数据由10-Q标记的年初至今累计数推算。分部拆分带有维度标记,在分部章节中单独展示。

数据来源

报表、分部营收、指标、预期:Financial Modeling Prep。分部利润及全部披露项目:SEC EDGAR(XBRL)。 已读取的文件: 10-Q 2026-09-30, 10-Q 2026-06-30, 10-Q 2026-03-31, 10-K 2025-12-31, 10-Q 2025-09-30, 10-Q 2025-06-30, 10-Q 2025-03-31, 10-K 2024-12-31, 10-Q 2024-09-30

数据截至 2026-11-01