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Spencer Hanus (Wolfe Research): analyst track record on stock perps

Spencer Hanus of Wolfe Research on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars1.7★
Success41%
Excess return+0.2%
rank#8,257
Ratings34
ratings on stock perps29

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings2445
Stock1629
Buy / hold / sell13 / 9 / 224 / 17 / 4
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations5 / 7 / 06 / 8 / 19
Price targets hit / missed2 / 10 (17%)5 / 20 (20%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)+2.6%-4.5%
Best / worst call+90.4% / -30.9%+92.8% / -52.6%

After buy calls: not enough measured cases yet

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co.Buy · Initiated$181+16.2%Oct 21, 2026
$LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc.Sell · Initiated$75.00-24.3%Oct 21, 2026
$NKE NIKE, Inc.Sell · Initiated$28.00-24.9%Oct 21, 2026
$ROST Ross StoresBuy · Initiated$279+21.7%Oct 21, 2026
$TJX The TJX Companies, Inc.Hold · Initiated––Oct 21, 2026
$ORLY O'Reilly Auto PartsBuy · Maintained$105+16.8%Jul 29, 2026
$HD The Home Depot, Inc.Hold · Downgraded––Jun 23, 2026
$TGT Target CorporationBuy · Upgraded––Jun 23, 2026
$TSCO Tractor Supply CompanyBuy · Maintained$48.00+43.6%May 13, 2026
$WMT Walmart Inc.Buy · Reiterated$137+14.3%May 8, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 21, 2026 $ANF: Initiated · Buy · $181 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $LULU: Initiated · Sell · $75.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $NKE: Initiated · Sell · $28.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $NKE: Initiated · Sell · $28.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $LULU: Initiated · Sell · $75.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $ANF: Initiated · Buy · $181 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $TJX: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $ROST: Initiated · Buy · $279 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $ROST: Initiated · Buy · $279 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $TJX: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Jul 29, 2026 $ORLY: Maintained · Buy · $105 · article
  • Jun 23, 2026 $HD: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Jun 23, 2026 $TGT: Upgraded · Buy · article
  • May 19, 2026 $HD: Reiterated · Buy · $365 · article
  • May 13, 2026 $TSCO: Maintained · Buy · $48.00 · article
  • May 13, 2026 $ORLY: Reiterated · Buy · $104 · article
  • May 8, 2026 $WMT: Reiterated · Buy · $137 · article
  • Jan 27, 2026 $TGT: Upgraded · Hold · article
  • Dec 29, 2025 $TGT: Maintained · Sell · $81.00 · article
  • Dec 22, 2025 $TGT: Maintained · Sell · $81.06 · article

Spencer Hanus1.7★ · 41% success · +0.2% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.