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Paul Newsome (Piper Sandler): analyst track record on stock perps
Paul Newsome of Piper Sandler on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars5★
Success74%
Excess return+14.9%
rank#100
Ratings499
ratings on stock perps96
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 276 | 637 |
| Stock | 57 | 59 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 184 / 88 / 4 | 440 / 183 / 14 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 2 / 9 / 1 | 11 / 16 / 6 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 114 / 161 (41%) | 330 / 305 (52%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -2.6% | +16.1% |
| Best / worst call | +52.6% / -44.4% | +1,275.4% / -68.6% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move +2.5% · vs S&P 500 +1.1% · targets hit within a year 80% (n = 90)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AON Aon | Hold · Maintained | $349 | +13.4% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| $CB Chubb Limited | Hold · Maintained | $374 | +10.4% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| $PGR Progressive Corporation | Buy · Reiterated | $241 | +11.5% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| $MRSH Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | Hold · Maintained | $182 | +2.7% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| $TRV Travelers Companies (The) | Buy · Maintained | $340 | -7.5% | Jul 13, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Sep 1, 2026 $AON: Maintained · Hold · $349 · article
- Jul 30, 2026 $AON: Maintained · Hold · $391 · article
- Jul 22, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Hold · $374 · article
- Jul 16, 2026 $PGR: Reiterated · Buy · $241 · article
- Jul 15, 2026 $MRSH: Maintained · Hold · $182 · article
- Jul 15, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Hold · $374 · article
- Jul 15, 2026 $AON: Downgraded · Hold · $377 · article
- Jul 13, 2026 $TRV: Maintained · Buy · $340 · article
- Jun 18, 2026 $PGR: Maintained · Buy · $242 · article
- Jun 15, 2026 $AON: Reiterated · Buy · $355 · article
- May 26, 2026 $MRSH: Maintained · Hold · $182 · article
- May 26, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Hold · $340 · article
- May 26, 2026 $TRV: Maintained · Buy · $340 · article
- May 21, 2026 $PGR: Maintained · Buy · $242 · article
- May 4, 2026 $AON: Reiterated · Buy · $388 · article
- Apr 22, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Hold · $319 · article
- Apr 13, 2026 $TRV: Maintained · Buy · $324 · article
- Mar 23, 2026 $TRV: Maintained · Buy · $324 · article
- Mar 2, 2026 $PGR: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article
- Feb 2, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Hold · $283 · article
Paul Newsome5★ · 74% success · +14.9% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.