PerpEquities

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Matthew Condon (Citizens JMP): analyst track record on stock perps

Matthew Condon of Citizens JMP on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars3.6★
Success53%
Excess return+7.1%
rank#3,540
Ratings70
ratings on stock perps46

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings4696
Stock2934
Buy / hold / sell35 / 11 / 083 / 13 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations1 / 8 / 112 / 9 / 14
Price targets hit / missed4 / 31 (11%)32 / 51 (39%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-22.3%-12.7%
Best / worst call+16.2% / -61.7%+62.7% / -92.0%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +2.1% · vs S&P 500 -1.1% (n = 42)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$ABNB AirbnbBuy · Maintained$200+16.3%Sep 18, 2026
$FOXA Fox CorporationBuy · Initiated$95.00+44.3%Sep 14, 2026
$LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.Buy · Maintained$215+24.0%Jul 22, 2026
$NFLX Netflix, Inc.Hold · Maintained––Jun 18, 2026
$ROKU Roku, Inc.Buy · Maintained$175+10.0%Jun 15, 2026
$SPOT Spotify Technology S.A.Buy · Maintained$625+7.0%May 22, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Sep 18, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
  • Sep 18, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
  • Sep 14, 2026 $FOXA: Initiated · Buy · $95.00 · article
  • Aug 7, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $190 · article
  • Jul 22, 2026 $LYV: Maintained · Buy · $215 · article
  • Jun 18, 2026 $NFLX: Maintained · Hold · article
  • Jun 15, 2026 $ROKU: Maintained · Buy · $175 · article
  • May 22, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $625 · article
  • May 8, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $170 · article
  • May 1, 2026 $ROKU: Maintained · Buy · $170 · article
  • Apr 28, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $600 · article
  • Mar 30, 2026 $TKO: Initiated · Buy · $240 · article
  • Mar 30, 2026 $NFLX: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Feb 4, 2026 $BKNG: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Feb 4, 2026 $ABNB: Upgraded · Buy · $160 · article
  • Jan 23, 2026 $TTD: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Jan 9, 2026 $ROKU: Maintained · Buy · $160 · article
  • Dec 17, 2025 $SPOT: Initiated · Buy · $800 · article
  • Oct 31, 2025 $ROKU: Reiterated · Buy · $145 · article
  • Oct 7, 2025 $BKNG: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article

Matthew Condon3.6★ · 53% success · +7.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.