PerpEquities

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Matthew Condon (Citizens JMP): analyst track record on stock perps

Matthew Condon of Citizens JMP on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars3.9★
Success60%
Excess return+10.5%
rank#2,851
Ratings65
ratings on stock perps22

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings4388
Stock2328
Buy / hold / sell32 / 11 / 075 / 13 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations1 / 8 / 72 / 9 / 10
Price targets hit / missed4 / 28 (13%)31 / 44 (41%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-22.3%-10.5%
Best / worst call+6.3% / -90.4%+62.2% / -90.7%

After buy calls: median 21-day move -4.0% · vs S&P 500 -7.3% · targets hit within a year 0% (n = 22)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$ABNB AirbnbBuy · Maintained$190+13.3%Aug 7, 2026
$LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.Buy · Maintained$215+26.4%Jul 22, 2026
$NFLX Netflix, Inc.Hold · MaintainedJun 18, 2026
$SPOT Spotify Technology S.A.Buy · Maintained$625+19.8%May 22, 2026
$TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc.Buy · Initiated$240+26.6%Mar 30, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Aug 7, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $190 · article
  • Jul 22, 2026 $LYV: Maintained · Buy · $215 · article
  • Jun 18, 2026 $NFLX: Maintained · Hold · article
  • May 22, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $625 · article
  • May 8, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $170 · article
  • Apr 28, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $600 · article
  • Mar 30, 2026 $TKO: Initiated · Buy · $240 · article
  • Mar 30, 2026 $NFLX: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Feb 4, 2026 $BKNG: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Feb 4, 2026 $ABNB: Upgraded · Buy · $160 · article
  • Jan 23, 2026 $TTD: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Dec 17, 2025 $SPOT: Initiated · Buy · $800 · article
  • Oct 7, 2025 $BKNG: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article
  • Sep 30, 2025 $TTD: Maintained · Buy · $60.00 · article
  • Jul 30, 2025 $BKNG: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article
  • Jul 21, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
  • Jun 24, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
  • Jun 9, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
  • Apr 14, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $115 · article
  • Mar 12, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $115 · article

Matthew Condon3.9★ · 60% success · +10.5% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.