Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst
Matthew Condon (Citizens JMP): analyst track record on stock perps
Matthew Condon of Citizens JMP on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars3.9★
Success60%
Excess return+10.5%
rank#2,851
Ratings65
ratings on stock perps22
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 43 | 88 |
| Stock | 23 | 28 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 32 / 11 / 0 | 75 / 13 / 0 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 1 / 8 / 7 | 2 / 9 / 10 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 4 / 28 (13%) | 31 / 44 (41%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -22.3% | -10.5% |
| Best / worst call | +6.3% / -90.4% | +62.2% / -90.7% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move -4.0% · vs S&P 500 -7.3% · targets hit within a year 0% (n = 22)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $ABNB Airbnb | Buy · Maintained | $190 | +13.3% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| $LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. | Buy · Maintained | $215 | +26.4% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| $NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Hold · Maintained | – | – | Jun 18, 2026 |
| $SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. | Buy · Maintained | $625 | +19.8% | May 22, 2026 |
| $TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. | Buy · Initiated | $240 | +26.6% | Mar 30, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Aug 7, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $190 · article
- Jul 22, 2026 $LYV: Maintained · Buy · $215 · article
- Jun 18, 2026 $NFLX: Maintained · Hold · article
- May 22, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $625 · article
- May 8, 2026 $ABNB: Maintained · Buy · $170 · article
- Apr 28, 2026 $SPOT: Maintained · Buy · $600 · article
- Mar 30, 2026 $TKO: Initiated · Buy · $240 · article
- Mar 30, 2026 $NFLX: Initiated · Hold · article
- Feb 4, 2026 $BKNG: Downgraded · Hold · article
- Feb 4, 2026 $ABNB: Upgraded · Buy · $160 · article
- Jan 23, 2026 $TTD: Downgraded · Hold · article
- Dec 17, 2025 $SPOT: Initiated · Buy · $800 · article
- Oct 7, 2025 $BKNG: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article
- Sep 30, 2025 $TTD: Maintained · Buy · $60.00 · article
- Jul 30, 2025 $BKNG: Reiterated · Buy · $259 · article
- Jul 21, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
- Jun 24, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
- Jun 9, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $100 · article
- Apr 14, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $115 · article
- Mar 12, 2025 $TTD: Reiterated · Buy · $115 · article
Matthew Condon3.9★ · 60% success · +10.5% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.