Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst
Bryan Smilek (J.P. Morgan): analyst track record on stock perps
Bryan Smilek of J.P. Morgan on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars0.5★
Success45%
Excess return-6.8%
rank#11,280
Ratings56
ratings on stock perps62
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 80 | 136 |
| Stock | 27 | 27 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 38 / 33 / 9 | 68 / 54 / 14 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 4 / 2 / 13 | 4 / 5 / 18 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 29 / 38 (43%) | 40 / 77 (34%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -6.7% | -18.6% |
| Best / worst call | +50.8% / -69.5% | +102.7% / -91.9% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move -1.5% · vs S&P 500 -2.7% (n = 41)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $RBLX Roblox Corporation | Hold · Reiterated | $53.00 | +0.2% | Oct 14, 2026 |
| $DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | Hold · Maintained | $135 | -5.6% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| $TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | Buy · Reiterated | $310 | +52.2% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| $HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. | Hold · Initiated | $32.00 | +15.5% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| $ROKU Roku, Inc. | Hold · Initiated | $160 | +0.6% | Aug 24, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Oct 14, 2026 $RBLX: Reiterated · Hold · $53.00 · article
- Oct 2, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $135 · article
- Sep 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310 · article
- Sep 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310
- Sep 21, 2026 $TTWO: Maintained · Buy · $310 · article
- Sep 21, 2026 $RBLX: Maintained · Hold · article
- Sep 21, 2026 $TTWO: Maintained · Buy · $310
- Sep 13, 2026 $RBLX: Maintained · Hold · article
- Sep 13, 2026 $RBLX: Maintained · Hold
- Sep 11, 2026 $HIMS: Initiated · Hold · $32.00 · article
- Sep 8, 2026 $RBLX: Maintained · Hold · article
- Sep 1, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $135 · article
- Sep 1, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $135
- Aug 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310
- Aug 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310 · article
- Aug 27, 2026 $DUOL: Reiterated · Hold · $135 · article
- Aug 24, 2026 $ROKU: Initiated · Hold · $160 · article
- Aug 11, 2026 $TTWO: Initiated · Buy · $310 · article
- Aug 6, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $125 · article
- Jul 21, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $125 · article
Bryan Smilek0.5★ · 45% success · -6.8% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.