Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst
Bryan Smilek (J.P. Morgan): analyst track record on stock perps
Bryan Smilek of J.P. Morgan on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars0.3★
Success40%
Excess return-11.8%
rank#11,847
Ratings47
ratings on stock perps50
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 60 | 108 |
| Stock | 13 | 13 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 26 / 26 / 8 | 54 / 43 / 11 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 2 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 5 / 6 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 16 / 35 (31%) | 26 / 69 (27%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -15.4% | -24.0% |
| Best / worst call | +54.4% / -71.8% | +82.0% / -91.9% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move -1.4% · vs S&P 500 +0.3% · targets hit within a year 73% (n = 45)
Current calls on stock perps
Recent ratings
- Sep 8, 2026 $RBLX: Maintained · Hold · article
- Sep 1, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $135
- Aug 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310
- Aug 28, 2026 $TTWO: Reiterated · Buy · $310 · article
- Aug 27, 2026 $DUOL: Reiterated · Hold · $135 · article
- Aug 11, 2026 $TTWO: Initiated · Buy · $310 · article
- Aug 6, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $125 · article
- Jul 21, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $125 · article
- Jul 17, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $125 · article
- Jun 25, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $94.00 · article
- May 5, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $94.00 · article
- Apr 13, 2026 $SHOP: Maintained · Buy · $150 · article
- Mar 9, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Hold · $95.00 · article
- Mar 3, 2026 $DUOL: Downgraded · Hold · $95.00 · article
- Feb 27, 2026 $DUOL: Downgraded · Hold · $95.00 · article
- Feb 17, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
- Jan 20, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
- Jan 9, 2026 $DUOL: Maintained · Buy · $300 · article
- Dec 18, 2025 $DUOL: Maintained · Buy · $300 · article
- Nov 17, 2025 $DUOL: Maintained · Buy · $300 · article
Bryan Smilek0.3★ · 40% success · -11.8% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.