PerpEquities

Progressive Corporation (PGR) financials

NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · 70,053 employees · CEO Susan Patricia Griffith

Price
$231.28 +0.48%
Market cap
$134B
Enterprise value
$143B
Last report
Q3 '26 filed 2026-10-14
Next report
2027-01-27
Revenue (TTM)$91.7B+7.7% vs a year agoLast 4 quarters; bars = each quarter
Operating margin (TTM)16.0%+0.2 pp vs a year agoOperating income $14.7B
Net income (TTM)$11.6B+8.5% vs a year agoAfter tax, incl. non-operating gains
Free cash flow (TTM)$10.8B-36.5% vs a year agoCapex $322M
Diluted EPS (TTM)$19.86+8.9% vs a year agoSum of the last 4 quarters
Net cash-$6.26B-281.0% vs a year agoCash + short-term investments - debt

Valuation & key figures

Market cap
$134B
EV $143B
Revenue
$91.7B
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth
0%
FY2026 consensus
Profit margin
12.7%
Net income / revenue, TTM
P/E
11.6×
Forward 12.6× (FY2026)
P/S
1.5×
Price / sales, TTM
EV / EBITDA
9.4×
TTM
Free cash flow
$10.8B
Trailing 12 months
Net income
$11.6B
Trailing 12 months
Revenue estimate
$87.9B
FY2026 consensus
Earnings
2027-01-27
Dividend
$13.90
Per share, last 12 months

Key takeaways

Computed from the reported numbers - every statement carries the figure it rests on.

  • Revenue growth slowing: 3.0% year on yearQ3 '26 revenue $23.2B, against an average of 10.6% over the four quarters before.
  • Operating margin 16.0% (TTM), +0.2 pp on a year agoOperating income grew 8.8% while revenue grew 7.7%.
  • Capex 0.4% of revenue (a year ago 0.4%)$322M invested in the last 4 quarters (-4.5% on a year earlier). Free cash flow $10.8B = 93.1% of net income.
  • Returned $9.24B to shareholders = 85.4% of free cash flowBuybacks $1.15B (a year earlier $107M), dividends $8.09B, stock-based pay $42M (TTM).
  • Diluted share count down 1.0% in a year582M diluted shares in Q3 '26, 588M a year earlier.
  • Net debt $6.26BCash + short-term investments $2.13B, debt incl. leases $8.39B; a year ago net cash $3.46B.

Last quarter: Q3 '26

Quarter ended 2026-09-30. Compared with the same quarter a year earlier and with the analyst consensus before the report.

Quarter vs a year ago

Q3 '26Year agoChange
Revenue$23.2B$22.5B+3.0%
Gross margin100.0%15.8%+84.2 pp
Operating income$3.24B$3.32B-2.6%
Operating margin14.0%14.8%-0.8 pp
Net income$2.54B$2.62B-2.8%
Diluted EPS$4.37$4.45-1.8%
Operating cash flow$0$5.2B-100.0%
Capex$0$66M-100.0%
Free cash flow$0$5.13B-100.0%
R&D$0$0–
Stock-based compensation-$52M$42M-223.8%

Revenue

Where the money comes from - by business line and by region, quarter by quarter.

Revenue, operating income and growth

quarterly

Revenue by business line

stacked, quarterly
SegmentQ1 '26y/yShareTTMTTM y/y12 quarters
Personal Lines Segment$18.7B+10.0%87.8%$73.5B-6.8%
Commercial Lines Segment$2.6B-4.9%12.2%$10.9B-20.7%

Margins & cost structure

How much of each unit of revenue is left at each level - and where the costs go.

Margins

quarterly

Costs as % of revenue

quarterly

Cash flow & capital allocation

Cash generated, what it is spent on, and what reaches shareholders.

Operating cash flow, capex, free cash flow

quarterly

Uses of cash vs operating cash flow

fiscal years

Last 4 quarters

cash flow statement
Operating cash flow
$11.1B
Capex
-$322M
Buybacks
-$1.15B
Dividends
-$8.09B
Acquisitions
$0
Net debt issued
$1.49B
Stock-based compensation
$42M
Free cash flow
$10.8B
Returned to shareholders / FCF
85.4%

Share count and EPS

quarterly, diluted

Balance sheet

Liquidity, investments and debt at each quarter end.

Cash, investments and debt

quarter ends

Valuation & returns

Today's multiples against the company's own last five fiscal years; analyst targets and ratings.

Multiples and returns

TTM vs 5 fiscal years
Now5y averageWhere today sits in the 5-year range
P/E (TTM)11.6×35.9×11.8× – 109.0×
EV / EBITDA9.4×22.0×9.5× – 55.7×
EV / Sales1.6×1.6×1.4× – 2.0×
Price / FCF12.4×9.1×7.8× – 11.6×
Price / Book3.9×4.5×3.3× – 5.5×
FCF yield8.1%11.2%8.6% – 12.9%
Return on invested capital27.1%11.6%1.0% – 20.7%
Return on equity35.4%22.5%4.5% – 37.3%

Analysts

Consensus target $223.23 (-3.5%)
range $196.00 – $245.00 · rating Hold

Strong buy0
Buy16
Hold22
Sell4
Strong sell0

Outlook

Analyst consensus for the coming fiscal years and what it implies at today's price.

Consensus estimates

Fiscal yearRevenueGrowthEPSGrowthP/E at today's priceAnalysts (EPS)
FY2026$87.9B+0.3%$18.38-4.4%12.6×15
FY2027$91.6B+4.2%$16.20-11.9%14.3×16
FY2028$96.7B+5.6%$16.04-1.0%14.4×10

Financial statements

Every line of the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement - 12 quarters and 10 fiscal years, as values, as % of revenue or as growth.

Every reported line

All 271 figures The Progressive Corporation tagged in its recent 10-Q / 10-K filings, with the official SEC label and definition - including the notes (leases, taxes, buybacks, employees, ...).

Line (SEC label)Latest quarterYear agoy/yLatest FYPrior FYy/y
Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities$9.18B$8.43B+8.8%$9.32B$7.65B+21.8%
Accretion (Amortization) of Discounts and Premiums, Investments$32M$34M-5.9%$124M$30M+313.3%
Accrued Income Taxes$700M2026-03-31$838M-16.5%$28M$26M+7.7%
Accrued Investment Income Receivable$728M$636M+14.5%$670M$594M+12.8%
Accumulated Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Property, Plant, and Equipment$1.38B$1.37B+0.9%$1.46B$1.46B-0.1%
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Foreign Currency Translation Adjustment, Net of Tax-$2M-$1M-100.0%-$1M-$1M0.0%
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax-$847M-$95M-791.6%$103M-$1.42B+107.2%
Additional Paid in Capital, Common Stock$2.34B$2.19B+6.7%$2.31B$2.15B+7.6%
Advertising Expense–––$5.13B$4B+28.2%
AOCI before Tax, Attributable to Parent-$1.07B-$128M-737.5%$130M-$1.81B+107.2%
AOCI Tax, Attributable to Parent-$225M-$33M-581.8%$27M-$386M+107.0%
AOCI, Cash Flow Hedge, Cumulative Gain (Loss), after Tax-$13M-$13M0.0%-$13M-$14M+7.1%
AOCI, Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Adjustment, after Tax-$832M-$81M-927.2%$117M-$1.41B+108.3%
Assets$125B$115B+8.2%$123B$106B+16.4%
Benefits, Losses and Expenses$19.4B$18B+7.6%$73.4B$64.7B+13.6%
Cash$178M$125M+42.4%$125M$143M-12.6%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents$193M$135M+43.0%$138M$154M-10.4%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents, Period Increase (Decrease), Including Exchange Rate Effect$14M-$72M+119.4%-$16M$54M-129.6%
Ceded Premiums Earned–––$1.19B$1.37B-13.4%
Ceded Premiums Written–––$1.03B$1.47B-29.6%
Common Stock, Dividends, Per Share, Declared$0.10$0.100.0%$13.90$4.90+183.7%
Common Stock, Par or Stated Value Per Share$1.00$1.000.0%$1.00$1.000.0%
Common Stock, Shares Authorized900M900M0.0%900M900M0.0%
Common Stock, Shares, Issued798M798M0.0%798M798M0.0%
Common Stock, Value, Outstanding$581M$586M-0.9%$586M$586M0.0%
Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax, Attributable to Parent$2.94B$3.6B-18.6%$12.8B$8.67B+48.0%
Current Federal Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$3.04B$2.25B+35.4%
Current Federal, State and Local, Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$3.12B$2.31B+35.2%
Current State and Local Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$75M$58M+29.3%
Current Year Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense$15.1B$13.9B+8.5%$55.4B$49.5B+11.9%
Debt and Equity Securities, Gain (Loss)$604M$387M+56.1%$727M$264M+175.4%
Debt and Equity Securities, Realized Gain (Loss)$16M$19M-15.8%$248M-$414M+159.9%
Debt and Equity Securities, Unrealized Gain (Loss)$588M$368M+59.8%$480M$679M-29.3%
Debt Instrument, Basis Spread on Variable Rate1.0%–––––
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale$92.4B$84.4B+9.5%$92.9B$75.9B+22.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Accumulated Gross Unrealized Gain, before Tax$177M$889M-80.1%$901M$145M+521.4%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Accumulated Gross Unrealized Loss, before Tax$1.23B$999M+23.1%$753M$1.94B-61.1%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Allowance for Credit Loss$0$0–$0$0–
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Allowance for Credit Loss, Not Previously Recorded$0$0–$0$0–
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Allowance for Credit Loss, Writeoff$0$0–$0$0–
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Amortized Cost$93.5B$84.5B+10.6%$92.7B$77.7B+19.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, 12 Months or Longer$11.3B$15.9B-29.3%$13.2B$18.3B-27.9%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, 12 Months or Longer, Accumulated Loss$696M$966M-28.0%$686M$1.45B-52.7%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, 12 Months or Longer, Number of Positions436 security611 security-28.6%514 security731 security-29.7%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, Less than 12 Months$50.9B$5.45B+834.3%$15.4B$35.5B-56.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, Less than 12 Months, Accumulated Loss$534M$33M+1,518.2%$67M$485M-86.2%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Continuous Unrealized Loss Position, Less than 12 Months, Number of Positions788 security157 security+401.9%182 security342 security-46.8%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Realized Gain$60M$27M+122.2%$327M$79M+313.9%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Realized Gain (Loss)$1M$18M-94.4%$157M-$441M+135.6%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Realized Loss$59M$9M+555.6%$170M$520M-67.3%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Unrealized Loss Position$62.2B$21.4B+190.6%$28.6B$53.8B-46.9%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Unrealized Loss Position, Accumulated Loss$1.23B$999M+23.1%$753M$1.94B-61.1%
Debt Securities, Available-for-sale, Unrealized Loss Position, Number of Positions1,224 security768 security+59.4%696 security1,073 security-35.1%
Debt, Long-term and Short-term, Combined Amount$8.39B$6.9B+21.6%$6.9B$6.89B+0.1%
Deferred Compensation Plan Assets$196M2025-12-31$293M-33.1%$196M$293M-33.1%
Deferred Federal Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––-$199M-$70M-184.3%
Deferred Federal, State and Local, Tax Expense (Benefit)–––-$202M-$72M-180.6%
Deferred Income Tax Assets, Net$681M$633M+7.6%–––
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost$2.21B$2.11B+4.8%$2.04B$1.96B+4.2%
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs, Amortization Expense$1.57B$1.51B+3.7%$6.1B$5.38B+13.2%

Source: SEC companyfacts (XBRL of every 10-Q / 10-K). Cash-flow quarters are derived from the year-to-date figures the 10-Q tags. Segment breakdowns are tagged with dimensions and are shown in the segment section instead.

Sources

Statements, segment revenue, metrics, estimates: Financial Modeling Prep. Segment profits and every reported line: SEC EDGAR (XBRL). Filings read: 10-Q 2026-06-30, 10-Q 2026-03-31, 10-K 2025-12-31, 10-Q 2025-09-30, 10-Q 2025-06-30, 10-Q 2025-03-31, 10-K 2024-12-31, 10-Q 2024-09-30, 10-Q 2024-06-30

Data as of 2026-11-01