PerpEquities

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)财务

NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 员工30,600人 · CEO Timothy Cofer

股价
$37.43 +1.8%
市值
$512亿
企业价值
$787亿 数据截至 2026-11-11
最近财报
Q3 '26 2026-11-09提交
下次财报
2027-02-23 EPS预期 $0.67
营收(TTM)$231亿+43.0% 对比去年同期最近4个季度;柱状图=各季度
营业利润率(TTM)16.1%-5.4 百分点 对比去年同期营业利润 $37.2亿
净利润(TTM)$16.5亿+4.1% 对比去年同期税后,含营业外收益
自由现金流(TTM)$23.3亿+44.4% 对比去年同期资本支出 $6.03亿
稀释EPS(TTM)$1.09-5.7% 对比去年同期最近4个季度之和
净现金-$276亿-61.9% 对比去年同期现金 + 短期投资 - 债务

估值与关键数据

市值
$512亿
1h 前更新
营收
$231亿
过去12个月
营收增速
+58%
FY2026年一致预期
净利润率
7.1%
净利润 / 营收,TTM
P/E
34.0×
预期 16.3×(FY2026)
P/S
2.2×
股价 / 营收,TTM
EV / EBITDA
16.3×
TTM
自由现金流
$23.3亿
过去12个月
净利润
$16.5亿
过去12个月
营收预期
$263亿
FY2026年一致预期
盈利
2027-02-23
营收预估 $76.3亿 · 1h 前更新
股息
$0.23
每次派息 · 2026-09-28

核心要点

根据披露数据计算,每条结论都附有其依据的数字。

  • 最近财报(2026-11-03):营收符合预期,EPS 超预期6.8%营收$73.4亿,预期$73.3亿(+0.2%);EPS $0.66,预期$0.62(+6.8%)。
  • 营收增长加速:同比70.6%Q3 '26营收$73.4亿,此前四个季度的平均值为26.5%。
  • 营业利润率16.1%(TTM),较去年同期-5.4 百分点营收增长43.0%,营业利润增长7.0%。
  • 税前利润的59.5%被营业外亏损吞噬税前利润$23.3亿,营业利润$37.2亿(TTM)。股权投资亏损等一次性项目压低了净利润和EPS,营业利润更能反映业务本身。
  • 资本支出占营收的2.6%(去年为3.2%)最近4个季度投入$6.03亿(同比+17.1%)。自由现金流$23.3亿,相当于净利润的141.4%。
  • 股东回报$12.6亿 = 自由现金流的54.1%回购$800万(去年为$3800万),股息$12.5亿,股权激励$1.22亿(TTM)。
  • 稀释股数一年内增加0.2%Q3 '26稀释股数13.7亿,一年前为13.6亿。
  • 净债务 $276亿现金 + 短期投资 $12.9亿,含租赁债务 $289亿;一年前净债务 $170亿。
  • KDP International:营收+11.0%,利润率24.5%(此前为26.4%)Q3 '26增长最快的披露分部:营收$6.44亿,营业利润$1.58亿(来自财报的分部附注)。

上一季度:Q3 '26

截至2026-09-30的季度。与去年同期及财报发布前的分析师一致预期对比。

本季度与去年同期

Q3 '26去年同期变化
营收$73.4亿$43.1亿+70.6%
毛利率48.0%54.3%-6.3 百分点
营业利润$13.3亿$9.95亿+34.0%
营业利润率18.2%23.1%-5.0 百分点
净利润$8.82亿$6.62亿+33.2%
稀释EPS$0.59$0.49+20.4%
经营现金流$10.4亿$6.39亿+63.4%
资本支出$1.6亿$1.12亿+42.9%
自由现金流$8.84亿$5.27亿+67.7%
R&D$0$0–
股权激励费用$3300万$2500万+32.0%

实际 vs 一致预期

2026-11-03
实际一致预期对比预期
营收$73.4亿$73.3亿+0.2%
EPS(一致预期口径)$0.66$0.62+6.8%

来自2026-11-03发布的Q3 '26财报:营收及分析师预期口径的EPS(通常为调整后),可能与上方报表中的EPS不同。

EPS与一致预期

最近8次财报

营收

收入从何而来,按业务线和地区逐季展示。

营收、营业利润与增速

季度

按业务线划分的营收

堆叠,季度
分部Q2 '26同比占所列项目比例TTMTTM同比12个季度
U.S. Refreshment Beverages$29.3亿–40.0%––
JDE Peet's$28亿–38.3%––
U.S. Coffee$9.18亿–12.6%––
KDP International$6.64亿–9.1%––

分部利润

取自每份10-Q / 10-K分部附注的各披露分部营业利润(多数数据源缺少的利润拆分)。

Q3 '26分部

分部营收同比营业利润同比利润率去年同期利润率TTM营业利润
US Refreshment Beverages$30.3亿+10.9%$8.2亿+2.2%27.0%29.3%–
JDE Peets$26.5亿–$2.89亿–10.9%––
US Coffee$10.2亿+2.7%$3.19亿+34.6%31.3%23.9%–
KDP International$6.44亿+11.0%$1.58亿+3.3%24.5%26.4%–
International–––––26.4%–
Corporate (unallocated)––-$2.53亿-28.4%––-$12.4亿

各分部营业利润

季度

各分部营业利润率

季度

第四季度为推算值:10-K披露全年数据,减去10-Q的前三个季度。

利润率与成本结构

每一单位营收在各层级还剩多少,成本又花在哪里。

利润率

季度

成本占营收比例

季度

现金流与资本配置

创造了多少现金,用在何处,又有多少回到股东手中。

经营现金流、资本支出、自由现金流

季度

现金用途与经营现金流

财年

最近4个季度

现金流量表
经营现金流
$29.3亿
资本支出
-$6.03亿
股票回购
-$800万
股息
-$12.5亿
收购
-$127亿
债务净发行
$73.9亿
股权激励费用
$1.22亿
自由现金流
$23.3亿
股东回报 / FCF
54.1%

股数与EPS

季度,稀释

资产负债表

各季度末的流动性、投资和债务。

现金、投资与债务

季度末

估值与回报

当前估值倍数与公司自身过去五个财年对比;分析师目标价与评级。

估值倍数与回报

TTM与过去5个财年
当前5年均值当前处于5年区间的位置
P/E(TTM)34.0×25.9×18.3× – 35.3×
EV / EBITDA16.3×16.5×12.7× – 20.4×
EV / 营收3.4×4.2×3.2× – 5.1×
股价 / FCF22.0×29.8×20.6× – 55.0×
股价 / 净资产2.0×1.8×1.5× – 2.1×
FCF收益率4.6%3.8%1.8% – 4.9%
投入资本回报率3.8%5.3%5.0% – 5.6%
净资产收益率6.5%7.4%5.7% – 8.6%

分析师

一致目标价 $38.86 (+3.4%)
区间 $37.00 – $42.00 · 评级 Buy

强烈买入0
买入18
持有11
卖出0
强烈卖出0

展望

分析师对未来财年的一致预期,以及按当前股价意味着什么。

一致预期

财年营收增速EPS增速按当前股价的P/E分析师(EPS)
FY2026$263亿+58.2%$2.30+50.2%16.3×11
FY2027$299亿+13.7%$2.53+10.3%14.8×11
FY2028$308亿+3.0%$2.73+7.9%13.7×7
FY2029$324亿+5.2%$2.95+7.9%12.7×2
FY2030$336亿+3.9%$3.12+5.5%12.0×4

财务报表

利润表、资产负债表和现金流量表的每一项,含12个季度和10个财年,以金额、占营收比例或增速展示。

全部披露项目

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.在近期10-Q / 10-K文件中标记的全部328项数据,附SEC官方标签和定义,包括附注(租赁、税务、回购、员工等)。

项目(SEC标签)最近季度去年同期同比最近财年上一财年同比
$37.252026-03-30–––––
Accounts Payable, Current$62.2亿$29.9亿+107.9%$30亿$29.9亿+0.4%
Accounts Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Current$25.2亿$15亿+68.5%$16.7亿$15亿+11.3%
Accrued Income Taxes, Current$9000万2025-09-30$6500万+38.5%$6700万2024-12-31$2900万+131.0%
Accrued Insurance, Current$7500万2025-09-30$6600万+13.6%$5700万2024-12-31$5000万+14.0%
Accrued Insurance, Noncurrent$1.06亿2025-09-30$9000万+17.8%$9500万2024-12-31$8500万+11.8%
Accrued Liabilities, Current$26.4亿$14亿+88.8%$13.8亿$15.8亿-12.9%
Accumulated Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Property, Plant, and Equipment$26亿2025-12-31$22.5亿+15.6%$26亿$22.5亿+15.6%
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax-$2.69亿-$2400万-1,020.8%$1.02亿-$2.76亿+137.0%
Additional Paid in Capital, Common Stock$198亿$198亿+0.4%$198亿$197亿+0.3%
Amortization of Debt Issuance Costs$600万$900万-33.3%$500万2010-12-31$1700万-70.6%
Amortization of Intangible Assets$1.24亿$3300万+275.8%$1.38亿$1.33亿+3.8%
Amortization of Other Deferred Charges$4300万$5400万-20.4%$1.6亿$1.78亿-10.1%
Antidilutive Securities Excluded from Computation of Earnings Per Share, Amount40万130万-69.2%130万80万+62.5%
APIC, Share-based Payment Arrangement, Recognition and Exercise$3400万$2500万+36.0%$9700万$9900万-2.0%
Assets$869亿$546亿+59.1%$555亿$534亿+3.8%
Assets, Current$96.1亿$47亿+104.5%$52.7亿$40亿+31.7%
Buildings and Improvements, Gross$9.12亿2025-12-31$8.25亿+10.5%$9.12亿$8.25亿+10.5%
Business Acquisition, Transaction Costs$1.26亿–––––
Business Combination, Recognized Identifiable Assets Acquired and Liabilities Assumed, Current Assets, Receivables$8.86亿–––––
Capital Expenditures Incurred but Not yet Paid-$1300万-$400万-225.0%$2.04亿$2.2亿-7.3%
Capitalized Computer Software, Gross$5.43亿2025-12-31$5.17亿+5.0%$5.43亿$5.17亿+5.0%
Cash and Cash Equivalents, at Carrying Value$12.9亿$5.16亿+150.0%$10.3亿$5.1亿+101.2%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents$13.1亿$5.69亿+129.5%$10.4亿$6.08亿+71.7%
Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash and Restricted Cash Equivalents, Period Increase (Decrease), Excluding Exchange Rate Effect-$2.83亿$200万-14,250.0%$4.19亿$3.82亿+9.7%
Common Stock, Dividends, Per Share, Declared$0.23$0.230.0%$0.92$0.89+3.4%
Common Stock, Par or Stated Value Per Share$0.01$0.010.0%$0.01$0.010.0%
Common Stock, Shares Authorized20亿20亿0.0%20亿20亿0.0%
Common Stock, Shares, Issued13.6亿13.6亿+0.2%13.6亿13.6亿+0.1%
Common Stock, Shares, Outstanding13.6亿13.6亿+0.2%13.6亿13.6亿+0.1%
Common Stock, Value, Issued$1400万$1400万0.0%$1400万$1400万0.0%
Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax, Attributable to Noncontrolling Interest$7300万$0––––
Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax, Attributable to Parent$7.29亿$6.28亿+16.1%$24.6亿$8.5亿+189.1%
Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax, Including Portion Attributable to Noncontrolling Interest$8.02亿$6.28亿+27.7%$8.5亿2024-12-31$23.7亿-64.1%
Construction in Progress, Gross$2.89亿2025-12-31$3.84亿-24.7%$2.89亿$3.84亿-24.7%
Cost of Goods and Services Sold$38.2亿$19.7亿+94.3%$76亿$68.2亿+11.5%
Current Federal Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$2.55亿$3.77亿-32.4%
Current Foreign Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$2.4亿$2.42亿-0.8%
Current Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$5.63亿$7.27亿-22.6%
Current State and Local Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$6800万$1.08亿-37.0%
Debt and Equity Securities, Realized Gain (Loss)$02025-09-30–––––
Debt, Current$72.7亿$22.9亿+218.2%$31.1亿$26.4亿+17.5%
Deferred Compensation Liability, Classified, Noncurrent$3300万2025-09-30$3300万0.0%$3300万2024-12-31$3200万+3.1%
Deferred Federal Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$1000万-$1.99亿+105.0%
Deferred Foreign Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$2200万$0–
Deferred Income Tax Assets, Net$2.14亿$3600万+494.4%$3600万$3900万-7.7%
Deferred Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$4500万-$2.54亿+117.7%
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities, Net$88亿$54.3亿+61.9%$55.3亿$54.4亿+1.7%
Deferred Income Taxes and Tax Credits-$1.55亿-$4300万-260.5%$4500万-$2.54亿+117.7%
Deferred State and Local Income Tax Expense (Benefit)–––$1300万-$5500万+123.6%
Deferred Tax Assets, Gross$5.98亿2025-12-31$6.8亿-12.1%$5.98亿$6.8亿-12.1%
Deferred Tax Assets, Net of Valuation Allowance$5.74亿2025-12-31$6.55亿-12.4%$5.74亿$6.55亿-12.4%
Deferred Tax Assets, Operating Loss Carryforwards$2400万2025-12-31$3000万-20.0%$2400万$3000万-20.0%
Deferred Tax Assets, Other$8400万2025-12-31$1.07亿-21.5%$8400万$1.07亿-21.5%
Deferred Tax Assets, Tax Credit Carryforwards$500万2025-12-31$1000万-50.0%$500万$1000万-50.0%
Deferred Tax Assets, Tax Deferred Expense, Reserves and Accruals, Accrued Liabilities$1.52亿2025-12-31$1.54亿-1.3%$1.52亿$1.54亿-1.3%
Deferred Tax Assets, Valuation Allowance$2400万2025-12-31$2500万-4.0%$2400万$2500万-4.0%
Deferred Tax Liabilities, Gross$60.6亿2025-12-31$60.5亿+0.2%$60.6亿$60.5亿+0.2%
Deferred Tax Liabilities, Intangible Assets$55.4亿2025-12-31$54.9亿+1.0%$55.4亿$54.9亿+1.0%
Deferred Tax Liabilities, Leasing Arrangements$2.34亿2025-12-31$2.24亿+4.5%$2.34亿$2.24亿+4.5%

来源:SEC companyfacts(每份10-Q / 10-K的XBRL)。现金流量表的季度数据由10-Q标记的年初至今累计数推算。分部拆分带有维度标记,在分部章节中单独展示。

数据来源

报表、分部营收、指标和预期均根据公司文件标准化。分部利润及全部披露项目:SEC EDGAR(XBRL)。 已读取的文件: 10-Q 2026-09-30, 10-Q 2026-06-30, 10-Q 2026-03-31, 10-K 2025-12-31, 10-Q 2025-09-30, 10-Q 2025-06-30, 10-Q 2025-03-31, 10-K 2024-12-31, 10-Q 2024-09-30

数据截至 2026-11-11