PerpEquities

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Tracy Benguigui (Wolfe Research): analyst track record on stock perps

Tracy Benguigui of Wolfe Research on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars0.3★
Success55%
Excess return-6.1%
rank#11,776
Ratings171
ratings on stock perps17

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings4960
Stock4245
Buy / hold / sell20 / 25 / 425 / 27 / 8
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations2 / 0 / 372 / 1 / 37
Price targets hit / missed19 / 25 (43%)28 / 27 (51%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-1.6%+18.5%
Best / worst call+30.3% / -39.6%+712.2% / -74.3%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.7% · vs S&P 500 -0.8% · targets hit within a year 25% (n = 12)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$PGR Progressive CorporationHold · MaintainedAug 3, 2026
$CB Chubb LimitedBuy · Maintained$373+10.1%Apr 22, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Aug 3, 2026 $PGR: Maintained · Hold · article
  • Apr 22, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Buy · $373 · article
  • Apr 6, 2026 $CB: Maintained · Buy · $373 · article
  • Sep 15, 2025 $AON: Initiated · Hold · $395 · article
  • Sep 15, 2025 $PGR: Initiated · Hold · $259 · article
  • Sep 15, 2025 $MRSH: Initiated · Hold · $206 · article
  • Sep 15, 2025 $CB: Initiated · Buy · $320 · article
  • Sep 15, 2025 $TRV: Initiated · Hold · $282 · article
  • Nov 17, 2023 $PGR: Maintained · Sell · $112 · article
  • Oct 26, 2023 $CB: Maintained · Buy · $277 · article
  • Oct 13, 2023 $PGR: Maintained · Sell · $111 · article
  • Aug 16, 2023 $PGR: Reiterated · Sell · $109 · article
  • Aug 2, 2023 $PGR: Reiterated · Sell · $107 · article
  • Jul 26, 2023 $CB: Reiterated · Buy · $267 · article
  • Jul 20, 2023 $TRV: Reiterated · Hold · $184 · article
  • Jul 13, 2023 $PGR: Maintained · Sell · $103 · article
  • Jun 14, 2023 $PGR: Reiterated · Sell · $120 · article

Tracy Benguigui0.3★ · 55% success · -6.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.