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Toni Kaplan (Morgan Stanley): analyst track record on stock perps

Toni Kaplan of Morgan Stanley on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars2.7★

Success53%

Excess return+1.0%

rank#5,693

Ratings369

ratings on stock perps99

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP

	12 months	3 years
Ratings	136	367
Stock	35	36
Buy / hold / sell	48 / 75 / 13	120 / 212 / 35
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations	0 / 3 / 1	3 / 4 / 5
Price targets hit / missed	22 / 114 (16%)	73 / 294 (20%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)	-16.8%	-18.3%
Best / worst call	+141.8% / -77.2%	+141.8% / -91.9%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.8% · vs S&P 500 -0.8% · targets hit within a year 48% (n = 91)

Current calls on stock perps

Stock	Call	Target	vs last close	Date
$SPGI S&P Global	Buy · Maintained	$525	+27.9%	Sep 1, 2026
$WM Waste Management	Hold · Maintained	$230	+7.1%	Jul 30, 2026
$MCO Moody's Corporation	Hold · Reiterated	$512	+9.6%	Jul 23, 2026

Recent ratings

Sep 1, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $525 · article
Aug 20, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $525 · article
Jul 30, 2026 $WM: Maintained · Hold · $230 · article
Jul 29, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $525 · article
Jul 23, 2026 $MCO: Reiterated · Hold · $512 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $525 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $MCO: Maintained · Hold · $496 · article
Jun 3, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $557 · article
Jun 3, 2026 $MCO: Maintained · Hold · $491 · article
May 11, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $557 · article
Apr 23, 2026 $MCO: Reiterated · Hold · $467 · article
Apr 7, 2026 $MCO: Maintained · Hold · $489 · article
Apr 7, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $556 · article
Mar 11, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $580 · article
Feb 19, 2026 $MCO: Maintained · Hold · $526 · article
Feb 10, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $580 · article
Jan 13, 2026 $SPGI: Maintained · Buy · $627 · article
Jan 13, 2026 $MCO: Maintained · Hold · $526 · article
Dec 17, 2025 $WM: Maintained · Hold · $230 · article
Dec 19, 2025 $CTAS: Maintained · Hold · $210 · article

Toni Kaplan2.7★ · 53% success · +1.0% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.