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Simon Hales (Citi): analyst track record on stock perps

Simon Hales of Citi on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars3.7★

Success55%

Excess return+4.1%

rank#3,271

Ratings255

ratings on stock perps23

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP

	12 months	3 years
Ratings	47	109
Stock	27	29
Buy / hold / sell	39 / 8 / 0	78 / 31 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations	0 / 0 / 0	2 / 0 / 0
Price targets hit / missed	2 / 40 (5%)	19 / 81 (19%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)	-19.6%	-19.8%
Best / worst call	+5.8% / -47.9%	+67.9% / -86.1%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +5.3% · vs S&P 500 -0.8% · targets hit within a year 83% (n = 21)

Current calls on stock perps

Stock	Call	Target	vs last close	Date
$PM Philip Morris International Inc.	Buy · Maintained	$225	+18.6%	Jul 30, 2026
$MO Altria	Hold · Maintained	$70.00	+1.8%	Jul 16, 2026

Recent ratings

Jul 30, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $225 · article
Jul 16, 2026 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $70.00 · article
May 1, 2026 $MO: Reiterated · Hold · $70.00 · article
Feb 10, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $210 · article
Feb 9, 2026 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $65.00 · article
Sep 4, 2025 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
Jul 10, 2025 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $200 · article
Jul 10, 2025 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $55.00 · article
Apr 25, 2025 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $55.00 · article
Apr 15, 2025 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $180 · article
Apr 1, 2025 $MO: Reiterated · Hold · $52.00 · article
Feb 19, 2025 $MO: Reiterated · Hold · $52.00 · article
Feb 7, 2025 $PM: Reiterated · Buy · $163 · article
Jan 30, 2025 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $52.00 · article
Jan 22, 2025 $MO: Maintained · Hold · article
Oct 8, 2024 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $48.00 · article
Oct 8, 2024 $PM: Reiterated · Buy · $132 · article
Apr 19, 2024 $PM: Reiterated · Buy · $113 · article
Apr 19, 2024 $MO: Reiterated · Hold · $43.50 · article
Oct 26, 2023 $MO: Maintained · Hold · $42.00 · article

Simon Hales3.7★ · 55% success · +4.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.