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Noah Poponak (Goldman Sachs): analyst track record on stock perps

Noah Poponak of Goldman Sachs on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars3.9★
Success47%
Excess return+4.1%
rank#2,878
Ratings440
ratings on stock perps170

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings204450
Stock6869
Buy / hold / sell103 / 59 / 42234 / 125 / 91
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations0 / 3 / 710 / 13 / 12
Price targets hit / missed49 / 152 (24%)160 / 240 (40%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-19.3%+9.0%
Best / worst call+62.3% / -82.0%+1,029.8% / -97.3%

After buy calls: median 21-day move -0.8% · vs S&P 500 -1.5% (n = 66) · targets hit within a year 73% (n = 45)

After sell calls: median 21-day move +0.4% · vs S&P 500 -2.7% (n = 24)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$LMT Lockheed Martin CorporationSell · Maintained$498-17.6%Oct 22, 2026
$NOC Northrop GrummanHold · Maintained$525-4.8%Oct 22, 2026
$RKLB Rocket Lab CorporationHold · Maintained$67.00+27.4%Oct 15, 2026
$BA BoeingBuy · Maintained$253+34.3%Oct 11, 2026
$GD General DynamicsSell · Maintained$309-11.6%Oct 11, 2026
$JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc.Sell · Maintained$7.00+47.1%Oct 11, 2026
$KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.Buy · Reiterated$77.00+99.1%Oct 11, 2026
$LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc.Buy · Reiterated$361+42.1%Oct 11, 2026
$HONA Honeywell Aerospace IncHold · Initiated$190+16.3%Oct 7, 2026
$AVAV AeroVironment, Inc.Buy · Maintained$326+164.5%Sep 14, 2026
$FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.Hold · Maintained$34.00+86.5%Sep 13, 2026
$ACHR Archer Aviation Inc.Hold · Maintained$8.00+104.6%Aug 16, 2026
$EVEX Eve Holding, Inc.Hold · Maintained$3.30+101.2%Aug 11, 2026
$RTX RTX CorporationHold · Maintained$206+7.8%Jul 26, 2026
$GE GE AerospaceBuy · Maintained––Jul 20, 2026
$SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.Hold · Maintained$3.50+42.3%May 14, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 22, 2026 $LMT: Maintained · Sell · $498 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $NOC: Maintained · Hold · $525 · article
  • Oct 15, 2026 $RKLB: Maintained · Hold · $67.00 · article
  • Oct 15, 2026 $RKLB: Maintained · Hold · $67.00 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $LMT: Maintained · Sell · $486 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $JOBY: Maintained · Sell · $7.00 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $253 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $GD: Maintained · Sell · $309 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $RKLB: Maintained · Hold · $75.00 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $NOC: Maintained · Hold · $518 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $LHX: Reiterated · Buy · $361 · article
  • Oct 11, 2026 $KTOS: Reiterated · Buy · $77.00 · article
  • Oct 7, 2026 $HONA: Initiated · Hold · $190 · article
  • Oct 4, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $277 · article
  • Oct 4, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $277
  • Sep 14, 2026 $AVAV: Maintained · Buy · $326 · article
  • Sep 13, 2026 $FLY: Maintained · Hold · $34.00 · article
  • Sep 9, 2026 $AVAV: Maintained · Buy · $326 · article
  • Aug 16, 2026 $ACHR: Maintained · Hold · $8.00 · article
  • Aug 11, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $277 · article

Noah Poponak3.9★ · 47% success · +4.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.