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Nigel Coe (Wolfe Research): analyst track record on stock perps

Nigel Coe of Wolfe Research on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.3★
Success54%
Excess return+7.1%
rank#1,801
Ratings301
ratings on stock perps66

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings74154
Stock5459
Buy / hold / sell36 / 26 / 1285 / 40 / 29
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations6 / 7 / 1720 / 16 / 20
Price targets hit / missed10 / 45 (18%)45 / 84 (35%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-18.4%+1.8%
Best / worst call+23.1% / -63.9%+304.8% / -63.9%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +0.6% · vs S&P 500 -1.0% (n = 31)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$FAST Fastenal CompanySell · Reiterated$51.00-1.8%Sep 15, 2026
$WM Waste ManagementHold · Initiated––Sep 15, 2026
$MMM 3MBuy · Reiterated$201+15.9%Jul 21, 2026
$CARR Carrier Global CorporationBuy · Maintained$80.00+42.2%Jul 9, 2026
$EMR Emerson ElectricBuy · Maintained$167+3.3%Jul 9, 2026
$FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.Buy · Maintained$60.00+147.7%Jul 9, 2026
$HON HoneywellBuy · Maintained$265+19.8%Jul 9, 2026
$ITW Illinois Tool WorksSell · Maintained$286+3.7%Jul 9, 2026
$JCI Johnson Controls International plcBuy · Maintained$171+18.8%Jun 3, 2026
$VRT Vertiv Holdings CoHold · Maintained––May 14, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Sep 15, 2026 $FAST: Reiterated · Sell · $51.00 · article
  • Sep 15, 2026 $WM: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Sep 15, 2026 $WM: Initiated · Hold · article
  • Jul 21, 2026 $MMM: Reiterated · Buy · $201 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $MMM: Maintained · Buy · $189 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $HON: Maintained · Buy · $265 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $ITW: Maintained · Sell · $286 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $EMR: Maintained · Buy · $167 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $FAST: Maintained · Sell · $47.00 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $FPS: Maintained · Buy · $60.00 · article
  • Jul 9, 2026 $CARR: Maintained · Buy · $80.00 · article
  • Jun 3, 2026 $JCI: Maintained · Buy · $171 · article
  • May 14, 2026 $VRT: Maintained · Hold · article
  • Mar 2, 2026 $FPS: Initiated · Buy · $43.00 · article
  • Feb 27, 2026 $HON: Upgraded · Buy · $586 · article
  • Jan 29, 2026 $HON: Maintained · Hold · $311 · article
  • Dec 19, 2025 $GEV: Maintained · Hold · $846 · article
  • Dec 9, 2025 $CARR: Maintained · Buy · $74.00 · article
  • Dec 9, 2025 $VRT: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Dec 9, 2025 $ETN: Upgraded · Buy · $413 · article

Nigel Coe4.3★ · 54% success · +7.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.