PerpEquities

Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst

Matthew Smith, CFA (Stifel Nicolaus): analyst track record on stock perps

Matthew Smith, CFA of Stifel Nicolaus on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars2★
Success50%
Excess return+0.2%
rank#7,594
Ratings206
ratings on stock perps118

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings173403
Stock4142
Buy / hold / sell108 / 65 / 0245 / 158 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations0 / 1 / 13 / 5 / 4
Price targets hit / missed36 / 136 (21%)77 / 321 (19%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-15.6%-24.6%
Best / worst call+63.6% / -84.8%+88.0% / -100.0%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.1% · vs S&P 500 -1.2% (n = 93) · targets hit within a year 75% (n = 51)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.Buy · Maintained$37.00+32.5%Oct 22, 2026
$MNST Monster BeverageBuy · Maintained$52.00+12.0%Oct 22, 2026
$PM Philip Morris International Inc.Buy · Maintained$205+1.6%Oct 22, 2026
$JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.Buy · Maintained$27.00+61.1%Sep 10, 2026
$KHC The Kraft Heinz CompanyHold · Maintained$26.00+4.8%Aug 6, 2026
$MO AltriaBuy · Maintained$77.00+4.6%Aug 5, 2026
$MDLZ Mondelez InternationalBuy · Maintained$68.00+8.0%Jul 29, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 22, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $CELH: Maintained · Buy · $37.00 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $MNST: Maintained · Buy · $52.00 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $MNST: Maintained · Buy · $52.00 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205
  • Oct 22, 2026 $CELH: Maintained · Buy · $37.00
  • Oct 7, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205 · article
  • Sep 18, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205 · article
  • Sep 10, 2026 $JMKE: Maintained · Buy · $27.00 · article
  • Aug 24, 2026 $JMKE: Initiated · Buy · $27.00 · article
  • Aug 11, 2026 $CELH: Maintained · Buy · $37.00 · article
  • Aug 7, 2026 $MNST: Maintained · Buy · $52.50 · article
  • Aug 7, 2026 $CELH: Maintained · Buy · $37.00 · article
  • Aug 6, 2026 $KHC: Maintained · Hold · $26.00 · article
  • Aug 5, 2026 $MO: Maintained · Buy · $77.00 · article
  • Jul 31, 2026 $MO: Maintained · Buy · $77.00 · article
  • Jul 29, 2026 $MDLZ: Maintained · Buy · $68.00 · article
  • Jul 28, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205 · article
  • Jul 23, 2026 $PM: Maintained · Buy · $205 · article
  • Jul 20, 2026 $MO: Maintained · Buy · $77.00 · article

Matthew Smith, CFA2★ · 50% success · +0.2% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.