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Kyle Menges (Citi): analyst track record on stock perps

Kyle Menges of Citi on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.8★

Success71%

Excess return+25.2%

rank#409

Ratings148

ratings on stock perps70

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP

	12 months	3 years
Ratings	157	309
Stock	32	32
Buy / hold / sell	99 / 58 / 0	189 / 120 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations	1 / 1 / 6	3 / 3 / 19
Price targets hit / missed	48 / 108 (31%)	174 / 130 (57%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)	-7.5%	+9.8%
Best / worst call	+275.9% / -49.7%	+275.9% / -49.7%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +2.6% · vs S&P 500 +0.5% · targets hit within a year 100% (n = 68)

Current calls on stock perps

Stock	Call	Target	vs last close	Date
$DE Deere & Company	Hold · Maintained	$650	-4.1%	Aug 24, 2026
$CAT Caterpillar Inc.	Buy · Maintained	$1,100	+36.6%	Aug 5, 2026
$CMI Cummins	Buy · Maintained	$790	+43.6%	Aug 4, 2026

Recent ratings

Aug 24, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $650 · article
Aug 21, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $650 · article
Aug 4, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $790 · article
Aug 5, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $1,100 · article
Jul 21, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $1,100 · article
Jul 13, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $1,100 · article
Jul 13, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $610 · article
Jul 13, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $790 · article
Jun 16, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $770 · article
May 6, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $770 · article
May 4, 2026 $CAT: Reiterated · Buy · $1,020 · article
Apr 13, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $710 · article
Apr 10, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $625 · article
Apr 13, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $905 · article
Mar 10, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $785 · article
Mar 10, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $625 · article
Feb 23, 2026 $DE: Maintained · Hold · $675 · article
Jan 6, 2026 $CMI: Maintained · Buy · $630 · article
Feb 2, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $760 · article
Jan 13, 2026 $CAT: Maintained · Buy · $710 · article

Kyle Menges4.8★ · 71% success · +25.2% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.