PerpEquities

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Julien Dumoulin Smith (Jefferies): analyst track record on stock perps

Julien Dumoulin Smith of Jefferies on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.5★
Success58%
Excess return+6.1%
rank#1,355
Ratings470
ratings on stock perps273

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings316806
Stock121149
Buy / hold / sell169 / 139 / 8430 / 319 / 57
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations24 / 23 / 1549 / 49 / 71
Price targets hit / missed62 / 242 (20%)308 / 477 (39%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-14.9%+5.5%
Best / worst call+83.8% / -80.9%+2,185.1% / -99.9%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.5% · vs S&P 500 -0.4% (n = 134) · targets hit within a year 74% (n = 86)

After sell calls: median 21-day move -4.3% · vs S&P 500 -8.5% (n = 20)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$BE Bloom Energy CorporationHold · Maintained$242+25.2%Oct 23, 2026
$DTE DTE Energy CompanyBuy · Maintained$152+15.2%Oct 23, 2026
$FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.Buy · Maintained$36.00+48.6%Oct 23, 2026
$KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc.Hold · Maintained$37.00+7.5%Oct 22, 2026
$SO The Southern CompanyHold · Maintained$95.00+2.3%Oct 20, 2026
$NXT Nextpower Inc.Buy · Maintained$115+50.4%Oct 16, 2026
$WMB Williams CompaniesBuy · Maintained$83.00+15.8%Oct 14, 2026
$GEV GE Vernova Inc.Buy · Maintained$1,185+45.4%Sep 22, 2026
$ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc.Buy · Maintained$42.00+32.9%Sep 21, 2026
$FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc.Hold · Downgraded$7.00+25.2%Sep 18, 2026
$FRVO Fervo Energy CompanyBuy · Reiterated$25.00+209.0%Sep 3, 2026
$FSLR First Solar, Inc.Hold · Maintained$228+32.6%Aug 7, 2026
$PWR Quanta ServicesBuy · Reiterated$784+43.5%Jul 10, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 23, 2026 $DTE: Maintained · Buy · $152 · article
  • Oct 23, 2026 $BE: Maintained · Hold · $242 · article
  • Oct 23, 2026 $DTE: Maintained · Buy · $152 · article
  • Oct 23, 2026 $FPS: Maintained · Buy · $36.00 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $KMI: Maintained · Hold · $37.00 · article
  • Oct 22, 2026 $KMI: Maintained · Hold · $37.00 · article
  • Oct 20, 2026 $SO: Maintained · Hold · $95.00 · article
  • Oct 16, 2026 $NXT: Maintained · Buy · $115 · article
  • Oct 16, 2026 $NXT: Maintained · Buy · $115 · article
  • Oct 14, 2026 $WMB: Maintained · Buy · $83.00 · article
  • Sep 29, 2026 $BE: Maintained · Hold · $264 · article
  • Sep 22, 2026 $GEV: Maintained · Buy · $1,185 · article
  • Sep 22, 2026 $GEV: Maintained · Buy · $1,185
  • Sep 21, 2026 $ENPH: Maintained · Buy · $42.00 · article
  • Sep 21, 2026 $ENPH: Maintained · Buy · $42.00 · article
  • Sep 18, 2026 $FLNC: Downgraded · Hold · $7.00 · article
  • Sep 18, 2026 $FLNC: Downgraded · Hold · $7.00 · article
  • Sep 17, 2026 $KMI: Reiterated · Hold · $33.00 · article
  • Sep 14, 2026 $WMB: Reiterated · Buy · $85.00 · article
  • Sep 15, 2026 $WMB: Reiterated · Buy · $85.00 · article

Julien Dumoulin Smith4.5★ · 58% success · +6.1% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.