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John Staszak (Argus Research): analyst track record on stock perps

John Staszak of Argus Research on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.6★
Success57%
Excess return+7.7%
rank#1,010
Ratings500
ratings on stock perps180

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings164346
Stock86101
Buy / hold / sell114 / 50 / 0255 / 91 / 0
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations13 / 23 / 036 / 47 / 6
Price targets hit / missed9 / 106 (8%)62 / 178 (26%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-22.5%-13.5%
Best / worst call+57.4% / -54.8%+191.0% / -97.0%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +1.5% · vs S&P 500 -0.5% (n = 130) · targets hit within a year 65% (n = 82)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc.Buy · Reiterated$125+27.6%Oct 21, 2026
$DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc.Hold · Maintained––Oct 13, 2026
$CCL Carnival Corporation & plcBuy · Maintained$30.00+14.9%Sep 30, 2026
$AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc.Buy · Reiterated$600+42.7%Sep 2, 2026
$PINS Pinterest, Inc.Hold · Reiterated––Aug 27, 2026
$MCD McDonald's CorporationBuy · Maintained$310+24.8%Aug 25, 2026
$DUOL Duolingo, Inc.Hold · Reiterated––Aug 24, 2026
$NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Hold · Maintained––Aug 19, 2026
$MGM MGM Resorts InternationalBuy · Reiterated$55.00+96.0%Aug 14, 2026
$MNST Monster BeverageBuy · Maintained$55.00+19.1%Aug 11, 2026
$CNC Centene Corp.Buy · Upgraded$80.00+17.6%Aug 10, 2026
$BKNG Booking HoldingsBuy · Maintained$245+57.2%Aug 7, 2026
$WYNN Wynn Resorts, LimitedBuy · Reiterated$130+78.7%Aug 5, 2026
$PWR Quanta ServicesBuy · Maintained$800+46.4%Aug 4, 2026
$CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Buy · Maintained$45.00+63.5%Aug 3, 2026
$LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.Hold · Downgraded––Jul 30, 2026
$DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc.Buy · Maintained$105+36.8%Jul 13, 2026
$EXPE Expedia Group, Inc.Buy · Maintained$315+9.0%Jul 7, 2026
$RCL Royal Caribbean GroupBuy · Reiterated$330+19.4%Jul 7, 2026
$WEN The Wendy's CompanyBuy · Upgraded––May 13, 2026
$MAR Marriott InternationalBuy · Maintained$425+8.8%May 6, 2026
$HLT Hilton WorldwideBuy · Maintained$380+8.7%Apr 29, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 21, 2026 $UAL: Reiterated · Buy · $125 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $UAL: Reiterated · Buy · $125 · article
  • Oct 13, 2026 $DPZ: Maintained · Hold · article
  • Oct 13, 2026 $DPZ: Maintained · Hold
  • Sep 30, 2026 $CCL: Maintained · Buy · $30.00 · article
  • Sep 30, 2026 $CCL: Maintained · Buy · $30.00 · article
  • Sep 2, 2026 $AXON: Reiterated · Buy · $600 · article
  • Aug 27, 2026 $PINS: Reiterated · Hold · article
  • Aug 25, 2026 $MCD: Maintained · Buy · $310 · article
  • Aug 24, 2026 $DUOL: Reiterated · Hold
  • Aug 19, 2026 $NCLH: Maintained · Hold · article
  • Aug 14, 2026 $MGM: Reiterated · Buy · $55.00 · article
  • Aug 10, 2026 $CNC: Upgraded · Buy · $80.00 · article
  • Aug 11, 2026 $MNST: Maintained · Buy · $55.00 · article
  • Aug 7, 2026 $BKNG: Maintained · Buy · $245 · article
  • Aug 5, 2026 $WYNN: Reiterated · Buy · $130 · article
  • Aug 4, 2026 $PWR: Maintained · Buy · $800 · article
  • Aug 3, 2026 $CMG: Maintained · Buy · $45.00 · article
  • Jul 30, 2026 $LVS: Downgraded · Hold · article
  • Jul 13, 2026 $DAL: Maintained · Buy · $105 · article

John Staszak4.6★ · 57% success · +7.7% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.