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Douglas Harned (Bernstein): analyst track record on stock perps
Douglas Harned of Bernstein on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.
Stars4.3★
Success53%
Excess return+11.2%
rank#1,699
Ratings174
ratings on stock perps167
Track record
TipRanks data via FMP| 12 months | 3 years | |
|---|---|---|
| Ratings | 112 | 252 |
| Stock | 30 | 33 |
| Buy / hold / sell | 60 / 52 / 0 | 130 / 120 / 2 |
| Upgrades / downgrades / initiations | 1 / 0 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Price targets hit / missed | 5 / 96 (5%) | 86 / 155 (36%) |
| Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks) | -25.8% | +0.2% |
| Best / worst call | +58.7% / -91.1% | +549.4% / -91.1% |
After buy calls: median 21-day move +0.9% · vs S&P 500 +0.5% · targets hit within a year 79% (n = 158)
Current calls on stock perps
| Stock | Call | Target | vs last close | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $RTX RTX Corporation | Hold · Maintained | $232 | +17.1% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| $TMUS T-Mobile US | Hold · Maintained | $220 | +24.2% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| $BA Boeing | Buy · Maintained | $298 | +45.5% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| $HWM Howmet Aerospace | Buy · Reiterated | $328 | +43.9% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| $GE GE Aerospace | Buy · Maintained | $421 | +29.9% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| $GD General Dynamics | Hold · Maintained | $398 | +12.4% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | Hold · Maintained | $614 | +15.8% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| $NOC Northrop Grumman | Hold · Maintained | $660 | +27.2% | Jul 17, 2026 |
Recent ratings
- Sep 8, 2026 $RTX: Maintained · Hold · $232 · article
- Aug 31, 2026 $TMUS: Maintained · Hold · $220 · article
- Aug 24, 2026 $HWM: Reiterated · Buy · $328 · article
- Aug 24, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $298 · article
- Aug 3, 2026 $RTX: Maintained · Hold · $232 · article
- Jul 27, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $298 · article
- Jul 23, 2026 $GE: Maintained · Buy · $421 · article
- Jul 17, 2026 $NOC: Maintained · Hold · $660 · article
- Jul 17, 2026 $GD: Maintained · Hold · $398 · article
- Jul 17, 2026 $LMT: Maintained · Hold · $614 · article
- Jul 14, 2026 $GE: Maintained · Buy · $405 · article
- Jun 16, 2026 $HWM: Maintained · Buy · $318
- Jun 1, 2026 $RTX: Reiterated · Hold · $208 · article
- May 29, 2026 $GE: Reiterated · Buy · $405 · article
- May 29, 2026 $NOC: Maintained · Hold · $660 · article
- May 28, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $298 · article
- May 3, 2026 $GD: Maintained · Hold · $398 · article
- Apr 27, 2026 $BA: Reiterated · Buy · $298 · article
- Apr 20, 2026 $RTX: Maintained · Hold · $204 · article
- Apr 20, 2026 $BA: Maintained · Buy · $298 · article
Douglas Harned4.3★ · 53% success · +11.2% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.