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David Arcaro (Morgan Stanley): analyst track record on stock perps

David Arcaro of Morgan Stanley on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.5★
Success57%
Excess return+6.8%
rank#1,169
Ratings500
ratings on stock perps392

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP
12 months3 years
Ratings5991,219
Stock8081
Buy / hold / sell261 / 251 / 87504 / 548 / 167
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations3 / 3 / 56 / 6 / 8
Price targets hit / missed143 / 455 (24%)537 / 681 (44%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)-13.6%-1.7%
Best / worst call+54.0% / -77.4%+245.2% / -77.4%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +0.3% · vs S&P 500 -0.8% (n = 226) · targets hit within a year 87% (n = 126)

After sell calls: median 21-day move -0.6% · vs S&P 500 -3.3% (n = 35)

Current calls on stock perps

StockCallTargetvs last closeDate
$BE Bloom Energy CorporationBuy · Maintained$335+73.3%Oct 23, 2026
$CEG Constellation Energy CorporationBuy · Reiterated$378+49.1%Oct 21, 2026
$DTE DTE Energy CompanyBuy · Reiterated$139+5.4%Oct 21, 2026
$DUK Duke EnergyHold · Reiterated$128+2.4%Oct 21, 2026
$PCG PG&E CorporationHold · Reiterated$21.00+66.3%Oct 21, 2026
$SO The Southern CompanySell · Reiterated$84.00-9.6%Oct 21, 2026
$TLN Talen Energy CorporationBuy · Reiterated$504+53.7%Oct 21, 2026
$VST Vistra Corp.Buy · Reiterated$226+61.2%Oct 21, 2026
$FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc.Hold · Reiterated$9.00+61.0%Oct 15, 2026
$ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc.Sell · Maintained$24.00-24.1%Oct 14, 2026
$FSLR First Solar, Inc.Buy · Maintained$326+89.5%Oct 14, 2026
$NEE NextEra Energy, Inc.Buy · Maintained$110+34.0%Oct 14, 2026
$PLUG Plug Power Inc.Sell · Reiterated$1.20-13.0%Oct 14, 2026
$GEV GE Vernova Inc.Buy · Maintained$1,350+65.6%Sep 17, 2026

Recent ratings

  • Oct 23, 2026 $BE: Maintained · Buy · $335 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $SO: Reiterated · Sell · $84.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $PCG: Reiterated · Hold · $21.00 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $CEG: Reiterated · Buy · $378 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $TLN: Reiterated · Buy · $504 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $DTE: Reiterated · Buy · $139 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $DUK: Reiterated · Hold · $128 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $VST: Reiterated · Buy · $226 · article
  • Oct 21, 2026 $VST: Reiterated · Buy · $226
  • Oct 21, 2026 $CEG: Reiterated · Buy · $378
  • Oct 21, 2026 $TLN: Reiterated · Buy · $504
  • Oct 21, 2026 $PCG: Reiterated · Hold · $21.00
  • Oct 15, 2026 $BE: Reiterated · Buy · $310 · article
  • Oct 15, 2026 $BE: Reiterated · Buy · $310
  • Oct 14, 2026 $PLUG: Reiterated · Sell · $1.20 · article
  • Oct 14, 2026 $NEE: Maintained · Buy · $110 · article
  • Oct 14, 2026 $ENPH: Maintained · Sell · $24.00 · article
  • Oct 14, 2026 $FSLR: Maintained · Buy · $326 · article
  • Oct 15, 2026 $FLNC: Reiterated · Hold · $9.00 · article
  • Oct 14, 2026 $FLNC: Maintained · Hold · $9.00 · article

David Arcaro4.5★ · 57% success · +6.8% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.