Top analysts on stock perps · Analyst

Carlos De Alba (Morgan Stanley): analyst track record on stock perps

Carlos De Alba of Morgan Stanley on companies with stock perpetual futures: star rating, success rate, price-target accuracy, current calls and the measured perp reaction after each rating.

Stars4.7★

Success56%

Excess return+15.7%

rank#710

Ratings273

ratings on stock perps106

Track record

TipRanks data via FMP

	12 months	3 years
Ratings	112	356
Stock	31	32
Buy / hold / sell	55 / 49 / 8	182 / 147 / 27
Upgrades / downgrades / initiations	10 / 8 / 6	21 / 18 / 9
Price targets hit / missed	50 / 59 (46%)	259 / 93 (74%)
Avg. return after a rating (TipRanks)	+2.4%	+34.9%
Best / worst call	+83.2% / -46.2%	+266.6% / -46.4%

After buy calls: median 21-day move +2.7% · vs S&P 500 +0.4% · targets hit within a year 56% (n = 100)

Current calls on stock perps

Stock	Call	Target	vs last close	Date
$MP MP Materials Corp.	Buy · Maintained	$73.00	+42.2%	Aug 19, 2026
$FCX Freeport-McMoRan	Hold · Maintained	$70.00	-1.7%	Jul 24, 2026
$SCCO Southern Copper Corporation	Sell · Maintained	$156	-19.6%	Jul 21, 2026
$VALE Vale S.A.	Hold · Downgraded	$16.50	+8.0%	Jul 8, 2026

Recent ratings

Aug 19, 2026 $MP: Maintained · Buy · $73.00 · article
Jul 24, 2026 $FCX: Maintained · Hold · $70.00 · article
Jul 21, 2026 $SCCO: Maintained · Sell · $156 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $SCCO: Maintained · Sell · $158 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $MP: Maintained · Buy · $71.50 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $FCX: Maintained · Hold · $70.00 · article
Jul 8, 2026 $VALE: Downgraded · Hold · $16.50 · article
May 11, 2026 $MP: Maintained · Buy · $70.00 · article
May 8, 2026 $FCX: Maintained · Hold · $66.00 · article
Apr 24, 2026 $FCX: Downgraded · Hold · $66.00 · article
Apr 9, 2026 $FCX: Maintained · Buy · $70.00 · article
Apr 8, 2026 $MP: Maintained · Buy · $62.00 · article
Apr 8, 2026 $VALE: Maintained · Buy · $19.50 · article
Apr 8, 2026 $SCCO: Maintained · Sell · $158 · article
Jan 30, 2026 $SCCO: Maintained · Sell · $153 · article
Jan 27, 2026 $FCX: Maintained · Buy · $70.00 · article
Dec 15, 2025 $SCCO: Downgraded · Sell · $135 · article
Dec 15, 2025 $VALE: Upgraded · Buy · $15.00 · article
Dec 5, 2025 $MP: Upgraded · Buy · $71.00 · article
Nov 19, 2025 $FCX: Maintained · Buy · $44.00 · article

Carlos De Alba4.7★ · 56% success · +15.7% excess return · TipRanks data via FMP · Source headlines via TheFly/StreetInsider (FMP). Reaction = venue-median perp move after our detection — an observation, not investment advice.